Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock has left the door open to an interest rate rise on Melbourne Cup Day, but played down fears that new inflation figures showed there had been a step-up in price pressures that would require even more tightening of monetary policy.
Bullock, facing her first Senate estimates hearing as governor, said on Thursday morning the latest inflation report showed price pressures were a “little higher” than had been expected, but were not a surprise.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics consumer price index report yesterday showed both underlying and headline inflation up by 1.2 per cent over the September quarter. The annual rate of inflation stepped down from 6 per cent to 5.4 per cent.
Economists at the Commonwealth Bank and ANZ, who had been expecting the RBA to hold interest rates steady at its November meeting, now expect the cash rate to be increased a quarter percentage point to 4.35 per cent. Financial markets, which had put the chance of a rate rise at 20 per cent ahead of the inflation figures, now put the chance at 55 per cent.